Russian LCV Segment Development Forecast for 2010-2020

Table of Contents

1.1 RF Macroeconomic Indicators
1.1.1 GDP
1.1.2 Oil Export Volume and Export Prices for Oil, 2005-2009
1.1.3 Natural Gas Export Volume and Export Prices for Natural Gas, 2005-2009
1.1.4 Budget Surplus, 2005-2009
1.1.5 National Currency Rate
1.1.6 Cargo Transportation Volume, 2005-2009
1.1.7 Truck Consumer Sector Development in RF, 2005-2009

1.2 Light Commercial Vehicle Production, 2005-2009

1.3 Light Commercial Vehicle Sales, 2005-2009
1.3.1 Light Commercial Vehicle Sales Dynamics, 2005- 2009
1.3.2 Light Commercial Vehicle Sales Dynamics, 2008- 2009
1.3.3 Imported to Russia-Manufactured LCV Ratio

1.4 RF Light Commercial Vehicle Park in 2009
1.4.1 RF Light Commercial Vehicle Park Volume as of 01.01.2010
1.4.2 Park Age Characterisctic
1.4.3 Park Retirement Level

1.5 Loan and Leasing Sector
1.5.1 Granted Auto Loan Volume Dynamics in 2009
1.5.2 Auto Loan Availability Level
1.5.3 Leasing Program Availability Level
1.5.4 Dynamics of Auto Loan Granting Under Government Program of Concessional Auto Loan Financing

1.6 Activity of Automakers in 2009

1.7 State Support Measures Taken

2.1 Macroeconomic Factors
2.1.1 Prices for Oil and Oil Export, 2010-2020
2.1.2 Prices for Natural Gaz and Natural Gaz Export, 2010-2020
2.1.3 RF GDP, 2010-2020
2.1.4 RF Budget Surplus, 2010-2020
2.1.5 Foreign Currency Rates, 2010-2020
2.1.6 RF Retail Sales Turnover, 2010-2020

2.2 Production Factors
2.2.1 Light Commercial Vehicle Sales and Production Interrelation

2.3 Supply Factors
2.3.1 Distribution Effect on Sales Volume
2.3.2 Currency Rate Effect on Imported Vehicle Prices
2.3.3 Level of Prices for Russian Vehicles
2.3.4 Level of Prices for Foreign Vehicles Assembled in Russia

2.4 Demand Factors
2.4.1 RF Light Commercial Vehicle Park Dynamics
2.4.2 Demand for Used Commercial Vehicles in RF

2.5 Financial Services Development

2.6 State Influence
2.6.1 Foreign Trade Control
2.6.2 Credit and Monetary Policy
2.6.3 Industrial Policy
2.6.4 Tax Policy

2.7 Introduction of Euro 4 and Euro 5 Standards

3.1 New Light Commercial Vehicle Sales Volume Forecast, Pessimistic and Optimistic Variants

3.2 Light Commercial Vehicle Production Graph, Pessimistic and Optimistic Variants

3.3 Production Volume Graph of Largest Plants, 2008-2020

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1.1 Light Commercial Vehicle Production , 2005-2009

RF Light Commercial Vehicle Production Dynamics, Russian and Foreign Vehicles, 2008-2009, Units

Российские марки - Russian Brands
Иностранные марки - Foreign Brands
Всего - Total

Source: data by manufacturers, analysis: Russian Automotive Market Research

1.1.1 Light Commercial Vehicle Sales Dynamics, 2008-2009

Light Commercial Vehicle Sales Dynamics, Russian and Foreign Vehicles, 2008-2009, Units

Российские марки - Russian Brands
Иностранные марки - Foreign Brands
Всего - Total

Source: AEB, analysis: Russian Automotive Market Research

1.1.1 Cargo Transportation Volume, 2005-2009

RF Automobile Transport Cargo Turnover, 2005-2009, Billion Tonne-Kilometres

Source: Federal State Statistics Service, analysis: Russian Automotive Market Research

RF Automobile Transport Cargo Turnover, 2008-2010, Billion Tonne-Kilometres

Source: Federal State Statistics Service, analysis: Russian Automotive Market Research

RF Retail Sales Turnover, In Absolute Terms and Adjusted for Inflation (At December 2007 Values) 2008-2010, Billion Rubles

Оборот розничной торговли - Retail sales turnover
Оборот розничной торговли, в ценах декабря 2007 - Retail sales turnover, at December 2007 values